Based on Ghana’s elections’ output, victory would be impossible when we don’t extrapolate data, traditions and strategies from previous elections.
No political party in Ghana has won the presidential elections on three(3) consecutive times.
Currently, the NPP, we are in our second term expecting to break that gene.
Things seem not different from the previous ones, however, things could change if the we get our odds right this time round.
The NPP could win the 2024 General Elections only on a strategic basis; a united front.
We need someone with no ‘stains’ or negative tags, and can help get about 80% of votes from our stronghold(s).
Statistics reveals that the Ashanti Region is our major stronghold, having won at least 65.8% of votes in every presidential elections since 1996.
A candidate getting the 80% of votes from the Ashanti Region means that our votes in the region would shoot to two million or above, which would make the “Breaking The 8” moment happen.
Also, we need a candidate who will significantly increase the votes in our other regional strongholds: Eastern, Ahafo, among others, together with our soft spots which are NDC’s strongholds.
We should pay much attention in the Ashanti Region as any positive occurrence(s) shall cause tremendous rise in votes in our favour.
Records show emphatically that the NPP wins the presidential elections whenever we accumulate 74.8% or greater of votes in the Ashanti Region, no matter what happens in the other regions. In 2020, NPP got 70.9% of votes in the Ashanti Region, with over 1.1 million votes difference between NPP and NDC which helped us to win the elections.
A supporting candidate rather from the weak regions proves reassuring for our recent political atmosphere. However, as time goes on, we can let someone from our weakest regions lead depending on the political schemes at that time.
In 2020, we presented a presidential candidate from our second stronghold, Eastern Region, and a running mate from one of our weakest parts, Northern Region. Despite choosing a running mate from the Northern Region, NPP in the presidential votes, couldn’t match up with the number of votes accumulated from the 9 constituencies we won the parliamentary seats: gotten 8 of them below the parliamentary votes. Is it not surprising?
A candidate who was not able to increase the presidential votes to match up with the parliamentary votes we won in his own region does not have the strength to increase the votes in other regions. One might say that, for the very first time, NPP has won 9 parliamentary seats from the Northern Region. Whilst winning 9 seats from the Northern Rgion, we couldn’t win the presidential contest in the north and also dropped in the percentage of votes we got from the Ashanti Region (In terms of the total number of votes cast).
Strategically, we (NPP) must choose someone who is competent, “corrupt-free”, honest, recognized, popular, industrious, and above all forms part of our tradition. The candidate must be someone who will significantly increase our votes and has his name ringing in every household in his region and the country.
After careful consideration, I can vouch for the candidacy of Alan John Kwadwo Kyerematen for the NPP flagbearership.
I therefore humbly plead with the delegates to give him the nod to lead us (NPP) in the 2024 GENERAL ELECTIONS, as he is the one who can strategically get the required number and percentage of votes for us to win the presidential elections.
Thank you.
Yours sincerely,
Bright Oduro
